Methodological approaches to assessing economic security in foreign trade

Alexey Zverev; Olga Kuznetsova; Maria Mishina; Tatiana Rebrina; Evgeny Aleshin

doi:10.34069/AI/2023.67.07.10

Alexey Zverev Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2434-6252
Olga Kuznetsova Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1572-4082
Maria Mishina Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9265-3081
Tatiana Rebrina Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7715-4794
Evgeny Aleshin Krasnodar University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0023-1576

DOI: https://doi.org/10.34069/AI/2023.67.07.10

Keywords: foreign trade balance, import, economic security indicators in foreign trade, threats, economic security in foreign trade, export.

Abstract

Economic security of foreign trade can be measured through a set of different special indicators with no standardised composition and regulations. The purpose of the study is to analyse the existing methods for assessing the level of economic security in the sphere of foreign trade and to develop an optimal system of indicators for its identification. The research involved scientific publications by national and foreign scholars, official statistical data in the field of Russian export and import as well as the following methods – monography, observation, comparison, economic analysis, analogue and hypothetical modelling. The article assesses various indicators for assessing economic security in foreign trade, applied in Russia and abroad. The authors identified the most informative indicators, proposed a number of threshold requirements for them; included two additional indicators (increment rate of counterfeit goods, share of counterfeit goods in imports), developed a rating-based approach to identify high, average, low, critical and catastrophic levels of economic security in the sphere of export/import operations. Foreign trade is an important activity for any state; however, it involves a number of risks and threats to be carefully assessed and minimised. Therefore, it is necessary to select efficient ways of assessing economic security in foreign trade transactions.

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Author Biographies

Alexey Zverev, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

PhD in Economics, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

Olga Kuznetsova, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

PhD in Economics, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

Maria Mishina, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

PhD in Economics, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

Tatiana Rebrina, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

Ph.D. in Pedagogy, Bryansk State Academician I.G. Petrovski University, Russia.

Evgeny Aleshin, Krasnodar University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, Russia.

Krasnodar University of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the Russian Federation, Russia.

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